Social Sciences
8 years ago

Hafez Assad's Health Problems Led to Turkish-Syrian Crisis Resolution.

SSRN Electronic Journal
The October 1998 Crisis in Turkish-Syrian Relations: A Prospect Theory Approach
Yüksel Sezgin

Paper Summary

The article explores why Turkey's threats to Syria in the 1998 October crisis were different and why Hafez Assad gave in. By using prospect theory, it suggests that Assad's health issues and domestic pressures, not power shifts or Turkish-Israeli cooperation, led to his surrender.

Related papers

Theme background image
Social Sciences
5 years ago

Iran and Turkey's Power Struggle Shapes Syrian Conflict Dynamics.

Media Influence
Family Constellations
Islamic Reform
Theme background image
Social Sciences
3 years ago

Turkish foreign policy shifts towards Syria after 2011 uprising.

Media Influence
Political Transformation
Quasi-States
Theme background image
Social Sciences
5 years ago

Syrian Crisis Threatens Turkey's Security: Border Clashes and Terrorist Attacks.

Political Transformation
Quasi-States
Socio-Political Dynamics