Atlantic Oscillation Linked to Future Winter Temperature Changes in Central Asia
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) affects winter temperatures in arid central Asia by influencing a weather pattern called the Scandinavian teleconnection. When the AMO is warm, cold air from the northeast strengthens, leading to colder temperatures in central Asia. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) also plays a role, with a 15-20 year lead time before affecting central Asia's winter temperatures. A model using NAO as a predictor suggests that winter temperatures in central Asia will rise over the next 10 years before declining after 2030.