High pass-through effect from exchange rate to prices destabilizes Belarusian economy
The article explores how changes in exchange rates affect prices in Belarus. High dollarization and inflation expectations lead to a strong impact of exchange rates on prices. This can make it difficult to set a stable exchange rate. Trying to fix the exchange rate can lead to credibility issues and higher inflation expectations. To stabilize the economy, the Belarusian National Bank should establish a strong nominal anchor to control expectations and reduce the impact of exchange rates on prices.