New study reveals real interest rates impact global exchange rates
The article explores the relationship between exchange rates, inflation, and interest rates. It finds that the Purchasing Power Parity does not hold for the USD/INR exchange rate. The researchers investigate the connection between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials between India and the US. Initially, they find weak evidence of a long-term relationship, but after considering structural shifts, they discover a new equilibrium relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials. This highlights the importance of monetary factors and structural shifts in predicting exchange rates over time.