Market reactions to earnings announcements depend on aggregate earnings, study finds.
The article shows that when companies surprise investors with their earnings, the stock prices of those companies tend to go up. This reaction depends on whether the surprise is due to overall market trends or specific to the company itself. Investors use a method called signal extraction to figure out the true impact of earnings surprises. The reaction to earnings surprises is stronger when the average surprise across all companies is high and less varied. Early earnings announcements in the quarter also have a bigger impact. Companies with more individual investors see a stronger reaction to earnings surprises compared to those with more institutional investors. Overall, understanding how the market reacts to earnings announcements requires looking at the bigger picture of aggregate earnings.