Reserves key to stable exchange rates in transition economies.
Some currencies are more volatile than others due to factors like reserves, uncertainty, and fiscal policy. Having higher reserves can reduce volatility, with around 4 months of imports being ideal. Uncertainty and loose fiscal policies can increase volatility. A volatile terms of trade can also lead to a volatile currency. To reduce exchange rate volatility, it's important to have prudent macroeconomic policies. External factors can also influence exchange rates, which authorities may not have control over.