Why experts are skeptical of Elon Musk’s lofty pro-Trump predictions based on early vote data
Suggested questions
Can social media predict election outcomes?
Analysis of millions of tweets accurately predicted swing directions in some battleground states during the 2020 election 2. However, this method is not foolproof and requires careful interpretation of sentiment and emotion data.
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How reliable are election forecasts?
Surprisingly, scientists are decades to millennia away from reliably assessing election forecast accuracy 1. The rarity of presidential elections and complex state-level correlations make it challenging to evaluate predictive models.
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Do voters hide their beliefs about election fraud?
Research suggests voters don't conceal beliefs about election fraud due to social desirability 5. Republicans are more likely than Democrats to believe fraud influences election outcomes.
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